When Cuban leader Fidel Castro came tumbling down that podium, a chaos might be what one would have expected. When reports of his weak condition, extensive surgeries and hospital visits reached the news stands across the world, the singing and cheering exile-Cubans took to the streets of Miami, Florida. In the firm belief that they would be able to return to Cuba in the near future, they were certain of a coming shift of regime.
The strategy of US foreign policy has always been to get rid of Castro. In the first few years after his claim to power, attempts were made to relieve him from his duties. In recent years, the United States has just seemed content to sit and wait until life after Fidel. In the meantime they have tried to be in the best possible position to take advantage of the chaos that they expected to follow his fall.
Instead Fidel’s younger brother Raul Castro stepped up. Despite some minor changes and a few attempts to approach the US, in which he has been rejected, he has continued to govern the country much in the same way as his brother has done for over four decades. While allied with, so far happily spending Venezuela, the Cuban government does not really seem to need the US.
A tying of South American countries to Chavéz’ Venezuela is surely a development that the US government will try to prevent. Washington’s first response to the news of Castro’s illness was to prepare for a wave of refugees heading for Florida. A better response might have been to reconsider the embargo and other restrictions, which helps in providing a natural enemy for Raul Castro and his government.
President Bush is not yet willing to take the step, several presidents before him has failed to take. As long as the US is occupied with its war against terror and more concerned with its most recent enemy, the threat of global warming, getting on terms with the regime in Cuba is not likely to be on the top of the government’s to do list.